When the Chiefs topped the 49ers in , fans knew both these teams would be here to stay. And sure enough, every AFC championship since then has featured the Chiefs; all but one NFC championship has featured the 49ers.Just four years removed from Patrick Mahomes' first Super Bowl victory, he'll be aiming for ring No. 3, this time against the Brock Purdy-led 49ers. This might have been a Super Bowl matchup many expected when the confetti finished raining down in Super Bowl 57. How these teams got here, however, was a bit different than many expected.The 49ers looked the part of a juggernaut through much of the season, with only a three-game losing streak and a blowout lo s to the Ravens marking the only real blemishes
Delanie Walker Jersey for San Francisco. Kansas City, however, looked more vulnerable than it has at any point since Mahomes was paired with Andy Reid. It entered as the No. 3 seed in the playoffs and eyed trips to Buffalo and Baltimore if it wanted to reach the Super Bowl.MORE SUPER BOWL 58 PICKS: | The Chiefs pulled off what is now becoming the expected, flexing their playoff experience and hoisting the Lamar Hunt Trophy. The 49ers, despite looking like juggernauts in the regular season, hosted a pair
Austin Johnson Jersey of underdogs and played down to the wire against both, mounting comebacks against both the Packers and Lions to earn their first trip back to the Super Bowl since that lo s to Kansas City in 2020.Each week, Sporting News' model projected every game in the NFL 10,000 times to generate the number of times a team wins a matchup and calculate the win probability. The model has adjusted after each week as it learns more about each team and that team's quarterback.Listed for each game is its projected spread, according to the model, and a team's win
Ben Jones Jersey probability. The odds listed with each game are not based on bookmakers, but rather how the model sees the game playing out. We will then compare the model's odds with those from , to see how bookmakers are seeing the game unfolding.Here's how the model sees the Super Bowl shaping up.49ers (-4) vs. ChiefsWin probability:65.1%, 49ersFor the most part this season, the model and the bookmakers have aligned on the favorites in each game. And that is again the case for the season finale. The 49ers opened as 2-point favorites, according to Caesars, and the model agrees, putting them just two extra points up in its own betting line.The model has been high on the 49ers since the preseason. , the Lions were second in Super Bowl odds at 14.4
Rodger Saffold Jersey percent of course, the Chiefs had the highest odds in the league at 16.7 percent. , San Francisco was up to 29.1 percent, trailing only the Ravens at 34.4 percent the Chiefs were down to 3.7 percent.The biggest reason for the hefty advantage is the fact that the 49ers have at times this season looked like a team built to demolish anyone they face, and they've done that. The model takes into account margin of victory throughout the season to build a se sments of the teams, and the Chiefs did not blow out any quality opponents and, in fact, lost most of the games to the better teams on its schedule like the Eagles, Bills and Lions. The 49ers, on the other hand, handed multi-score defeats to the Cowboys, Eagles and Buccaneers, among other quality opponents, though it was obliterated by the Ravens the turning point in flipping the model's Super Bowl odds to favor Baltimore over San Francisco.The quarterback
Adam Humphries Jersey advantage, unsurprisingly, goes to the Chiefs. But that's the case for anyone that plays Kansas City. The model has Mahomes rated as the best quarterback in the league, and he beat three of the four quarterbacks rated closest to him by the model.But Purdy had a solid game against the Lions, and has established himself as one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL. Though the Chiefs have had the more difficult road to the Super Bowl, the 49ers have remained the biggest powerhouse. And the model is treating the 49ers as the juggernaut to beat in this rematch of Super Bowl 54.
When the Chiefs topped the 49ers in , fans knew both these teams would be here to stay. And sure enough, every AFC championship since then has featured the Chiefs; all but one NFC championship has featured the 49ers.Just four years removed from Patrick Mahomes' first Super Bowl victory, he'll be aiming for ring No. 3, this time against the Brock Purdy-led 49ers. This might have been a Super Bowl matchup many expected when the confetti finished raining down in Super Bowl 57. How these teams got here, however, was a bit different than many expected.The 49ers looked the part of a juggernaut through much of the season, with only a three-game losing streak and a blowout lo s to the Ravens marking the only real blemishes Delanie Walker Jersey for San Francisco. Kansas City, however, looked more vulnerable than it has at any point since Mahomes was paired with Andy Reid. It entered as the No. 3 seed in the playoffs and eyed trips to Buffalo and Baltimore if it wanted to reach the Super Bowl.MORE SUPER BOWL 58 PICKS: | The Chiefs pulled off what is now becoming the expected, flexing their playoff experience and hoisting the Lamar Hunt Trophy. The 49ers, despite looking like juggernauts in the regular season, hosted a pair Austin Johnson Jersey of underdogs and played down to the wire against both, mounting comebacks against both the Packers and Lions to earn their first trip back to the Super Bowl since that lo s to Kansas City in 2020.Each week, Sporting News' model projected every game in the NFL 10,000 times to generate the number of times a team wins a matchup and calculate the win probability. The model has adjusted after each week as it learns more about each team and that team's quarterback.Listed for each game is its projected spread, according to the model, and a team's win Ben Jones Jersey probability. The odds listed with each game are not based on bookmakers, but rather how the model sees the game playing out. We will then compare the model's odds with those from , to see how bookmakers are seeing the game unfolding.Here's how the model sees the Super Bowl shaping up.49ers (-4) vs. ChiefsWin probability:65.1%, 49ersFor the most part this season, the model and the bookmakers have aligned on the favorites in each game. And that is again the case for the season finale. The 49ers opened as 2-point favorites, according to Caesars, and the model agrees, putting them just two extra points up in its own betting line.The model has been high on the 49ers since the preseason. , the Lions were second in Super Bowl odds at 14.4 Rodger Saffold Jersey percent of course, the Chiefs had the highest odds in the league at 16.7 percent. , San Francisco was up to 29.1 percent, trailing only the Ravens at 34.4 percent the Chiefs were down to 3.7 percent.The biggest reason for the hefty advantage is the fact that the 49ers have at times this season looked like a team built to demolish anyone they face, and they've done that. The model takes into account margin of victory throughout the season to build a se sments of the teams, and the Chiefs did not blow out any quality opponents and, in fact, lost most of the games to the better teams on its schedule like the Eagles, Bills and Lions. The 49ers, on the other hand, handed multi-score defeats to the Cowboys, Eagles and Buccaneers, among other quality opponents, though it was obliterated by the Ravens the turning point in flipping the model's Super Bowl odds to favor Baltimore over San Francisco.The quarterback Adam Humphries Jersey advantage, unsurprisingly, goes to the Chiefs. But that's the case for anyone that plays Kansas City. The model has Mahomes rated as the best quarterback in the league, and he beat three of the four quarterbacks rated closest to him by the model.But Purdy had a solid game against the Lions, and has established himself as one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL. Though the Chiefs have had the more difficult road to the Super Bowl, the 49ers have remained the biggest powerhouse. And the model is treating the 49ers as the juggernaut to beat in this rematch of Super Bowl 54.
